Tuesday, August 27, 2013

Defining an Argument: Premises and Conclusions

Defining an Argument
Argument: vas is das? For most of us when we hear the word 'argument' we think of something we'd rather avoid.  As it is commonly understood, an argument involves some sort of unpleasant confrontation (well, maybe not always unpleasant--it can feel pretty good when you win!).  While this is one notion of 'argument,' it's (generally) not what the term refers to in philosophy.

In philosophy what we mean by argument is "a set of reasons offered in support of a claim."  An argument, in this narrower sense, also generally implies some sort of structure.  For now we'll ignore the more particular structural aspects and focus on the two primary elements that make up an argument: premises and conclusions.

Lets talk about conclusions first because their definition is pretty simple.  A conclusion is the final assertion that is supported with evidence and reasons.  What's important is the relationship between premises and conclusions.  The premises are independent reasons and evidence that support the conclusion.  In an argument, the conclusion should follow from the premises.

Lets consider a simple example:
Reason (1): Everyone thought Miley Cyrus' performance was a travesty. 

Reason (2):  Some people thought her performance was offensive.
Conclusion:  Therefore, some people thought her performance was both a travesty and offensive.

Notice that so long as we accept reason 1 and reason 2 as true, then we must also accept the conclusion.  This is what we mean by "the conclusion 'follows' from the premises."

Lets examine premises a little more closely.  A premise is any reason or evidence that supports the conclusion of the argument.  In the context of arguments we can use 'reasons', 'evidence', and 'premises' interchangeably.  For example, if my conclusion is that dogs are better pets than cats, I might offer the following reasons:

(P1) dogs are generally more affectionate than cats and
(P2) dogs are more responsive to their owners' commands than cats.

From my two premises, I infer my conclusion that

(C) dogs are better pets than cats.

Lets return to the definition of an argument.  Notice that in the definition, I've said that arguments are a set of reasons.  While this isn't always true, generally, a good argument will generally have more than one premise.  

Heuristics for Identifying Premises and Conclusions
Now that we know what each concept is, lets look at how to identify each one as we might encounter them "in nature" (e.g., in an article, in a conversation, in a meme, in a homework exercise, etc...).  First I'll explain each heuristic, then I'll apply them to some examples.

Identifying conclusions:  
The easiest way to go about decomposing arguments is to first try to find the conclusion.  This is a good strategy because there is usually only one conclusion so, if we can identify it, it means the rest of the passage are premises. For this reason, most of the heuristics focus on finding the conclusion.  

Heuristic 1:  Look for the most controversial statement in the argument.  The conclusion will generally be the most controversial statement in the argument.  If you think about it, this makes sense.  Typically arguments proceed by moving from assertions (i.e., premises) the audience agrees with then showing how these assertions imply something that the audience might not have previously agreed with.

Heuristic 2:  The conclusion is usually a statement that takes a position on an issue.  By implication, the premises will be reasons that support the position on the issue (i.e., the conclusion).  A good way to apply this heuristic is to ask "what is the arguer trying to get me to believe?".  The answer to this question is generally going to be the conclusion.

Heuristic 3:   The conclusion is usually (but not always) the first or last statement of the argument. 

Heuristic 4:  The "because" test.  Use this method you're having trouble figuring which of 2 statements is the conclusion.  The "because" test helps you figure out which statement is supporting which.  Recall that the premise(s) always supports the conclusion.  This method is best explained by using an example.  Suppose you encounter an argument that goes something like this:

It's a good idea to eat lots of amazonian jungle fruit.  It tastes delicious.  Also, lots of facebook posts say that it cures cancer

Suppose you're having trouble deciding what the conclusion it.  You've eliminated "it tastes delicious" as a candidate but you still have to choose between "it's a good idea to eat lots of amazonian jungle fruit" and "lots of facebook posts say that it cures cancer".  To use the because test, read one statement after the other but insert the word "because" between the two and see what makes more sense.  Lets try the two possibilities:

A:  It's a good idea to eat lots of amazonian jungle fruit because lots of facebook posts say that it cures cancer.

B:  Lots of facebook posts say that amazonian jungle fruit cures cancer because it's a good idea to eat lots of it. 

Which makes more sense?  Which is providing support for which?  

The answer is A.  Lots of facebook posts saying something is a reason (i.e. premise) to believe that it's a good idea to eat amazonian jungle fruit--despite the fact that it's not a very good reason...

Identifying the Premises
Heuristic 1:  Identifying the premises once you've identified the conclusion is cake.  Whatever isn't contained in the conclusion is either a premise or "filler" (i.e., not relevant to the argument).  We will explore the distinguishing between filler and relevant premises a bit later, so don't worry about that distinction for now.

Example 1
Gun availability should be regulated. Put simply, if your fellow citizens have easy access to guns, they’re more likely to kill you than if they don’t have access. Interestingly, this turned out to be true not just for the twenty-six developed countries analyzed, but on a State-to-State level too. http://listverse.com/2013/04/21/10-arguments-for-gun-control/

Ok, lets try heuristic #1.  What's the most controversial statement?  For most Americans, it is probably that "gun availability should be regulated."  This is probably the conclusion.  Just for fun lets try out the other heuristics.

Heuristic #2 says we should find a statement that takes a position on an issue.  Hmmm... the issue seems to be gun control, and the arguer takes a position.  Both heuristics converge on "gun availability should be regulated."

Heuristic #3 says the conclusion will usually be the first or last statement.  Guess what? Same result as the other heuristics.

Heuristic #4.  
A:  Gun availability should be regulated because people with easy access to guns are more likely to kill you. 

Or

B:  People with easy access to guns are more likely to kill you because gun availability should be regulated.

A is the winner.

The conclusion in this argument is well established.  It follows that what's left over are premises (support for the conclusion):
(P1)  If your fellow citizens have easy access to guns, they’re more likely to kill you than if they don’t have access. 
(P2)  Studies show that P1 is true, not just for the twenty-six developed countries analyzed, but on a State-to-State level too. 
(C)  Gun availability should be regulated.
Example 2
If you make gun ownership a crime, then only criminals will have guns. This means only “bad” guys would have guns, while good people would by definition be at a disadvantage. Gun control is a bad idea.
Heuristic #1:  What's the most controversial statement? Probably "gun control is a bad idea."

Heuristic #2: Which statement takes a position on an issue? "Gun control is a bad idea."

Heuristic #3:  "Gun control is a bad idea" is last and also passed heuristic 1 and 2.  Probably a good bet as the conclusion. 

Heuristic #4:  
A: If you make gun ownership a crime, then only criminals will have guns because gun control is a bad idea.

OR

B: Gun control is a bad idea because if you make gun ownership a crime, then only criminals will have guns.

The winner is B, therefore, "gun control is a bad idea" is the conclusion. 

All 4 heuristics point to "gun control is a bad idea" as being the conclusion therefore we can safely infer that the other statements are premises:

(P1)   If you make gun ownership a crime, then only criminals will have guns.
(P2)   This means only “bad” guys would have guns, while good people would by definition be at a disadvantage.
(C)     Gun control is a bad idea.

Looking Ahead
Also, many arguments can also contain what are called 'hidden', 'unstated,' or 'assumed' premises.

To understand the notion of a hidden premise lets look at (P1).  Can you find the hidden premise?  Here it is: (HP1) What makes a good pet is that it is affectionate.  This is an assumption that displays the values of the arguer.  (Note: hidden premises might not always be about values.)

However, there may be people who don't value affection as a marker of being a good pet.  Maybe for some people what makes a good pet is that it is clean or self-reliant.  So, a huge part of being a good critical thinker is to look beyond the stated premises and to try to find the assumed premises.  When we do this, the task of assessing the relative strength and weaknesses of an argument's premises (and, in turn, the argument itself) becomes much easier.

A cat lover could now counter the dog-as-better-pets argument by showing that the hidden assumption upon which the relevance of (P1) relies isn't universally true, and therefore the conclusion doesn't necessarily follow.

So, the cat lover can show that (C) (dogs are better than cats) doesn't necessarily follow from (P1) (dogs are more affectionate than cats) because (P1) is only relevant to the conclusion if we also assume that affection-giving is a key determinant of 'good pet-ness'.  In other words, the dog proponent's argument only works if we also accept their hidden assumption/premise. 

However, showing that (C) doesn't follow from (P1) doesn't mean (C) is false, nor does it show the contrary, that cats are better pets than dogs, it only shows that "dogs are better pets than cats" can't be established through this particular argument.

In other words, it could very well be true that dogs are better pets than cats but this argument doesn't show it.  In order to prove that dogs are better than cats we'd need a different argument. 


This brings us to an interesting point which I'll discuss in the next section: systems of belief, biases, and values.  When (as often happens) arguments involve values, evaluating an argument as 'true' or 'false' becomes difficult because it is an open question whether a value (that is supporting a major premise or conclusion) can be 'right' or 'wrong'.  This is more a question for ethics, but as far as being good critical thinkers goes, it  is extremely important to be able to recognize when and how a premise or conclusion is ultimately supported by a value judgement, bias, or system of belief.

The next post will give an overview of systems of belief, biases, and values, and their role in arguments and critical thinking.

Summary:
An argument is a set of reasons or evidence offered in support of a claim.


A premise is an individual reason or piece of evidence offered in support of a conclusion.

A conclusion is the claim that follows from or is supported by the premise(s).

Key ideas:
1) Just because a conclusion is true, it doesn't mean that the argument in support of the conclusion is a good one (i.e. valid).  Truth and justification are two different things!


2)  Be on the alert for hidden premises! 

Fall 2013 Syllabus, Outline, Grading, Objectives and Policies

Phil 102 (Sec 1005): Critical Thinking
“It is the mark of an educated mind to be able to entertain a thought without accepting it.”
--Aristotle

Instructor: Ami Palmer
Email: philosophami@gmail.com
Class Times: Mon & Wed 1:00pm-2:15pm Room: CBC C110Office Hours: Mon & Wed 2:30pm-4pm in CDC building 4.

Textbook: Good Reasoning Matters: A Constructive Approach to Critical Thinking (5th Edition) by Leo A. Groarke and Christopher W. Tindale


Course Outline:Aug 26&28: Go over course syllabus, goals, expectations, and intro to critical thinking; Ch. 1 Making Room for and Defining Argument.
Sep. 2&4: Labour Day Recess; Ch. 2 Bias, Detecting Illegitimate Biases, Slating by Omission and Distortionl, Haidt article (link will be posted).
Sep. 9&11: Ch. 3 Burden of Proof, Strong Arguments, Logical Consequence; Contextual Relevance, Schemes and Counter-Schemes.
Sep. 16&18: Ch. 4 Simple and Extended Arguments, Inference Indicators; Arguments w/o Indicator Words, Arguments and Explanations.
Sep. 23&25: Ch. 5 Diagrams: Simple Argument, Complex Arguments, Supplemented Diagrams, Building Your Own Arguments.
Sep. 30&Oct. 2: Mon. Review; Wed: Exam 1
Oct. 7&9: Ch. 6 Hidden Argument Components, Principles of Communication, Hidden Conclusions, Finding Hidden Conclusions, Hidden Premises; Non-Verbal Elements in Argument, Symbols and Metaphor.
Oct. 14&16: Ch. 7 Condensed Version; Ch. 8 Acceptable/Unacceptable/Questionable, Conditions of Acceptability, Conditions of Unacceptability. Take-Home Midterm #1 Assigned Wednesday
Oct. 21&23: Ch. 8 Relevance, Sufficiency, Applying the Criteria, Ch. 9 Generalizations, Polling Take-Home Midterm #1 Due Wednesday in Class.
Oct. 25: Nevada Day
Oct. 28&30: Ch. 9 General Causal Reasoning, Ch. 10 Particular Causal Reasoning; Argument from Ignorance.
Nov. 1: Final Day to Drop
Nov. 4&6: Ch. 10 The Scientific Method/Review; Wed: Exam 2
Nov. 11&13: Mon: Veterans' Day; Ch. 11 Slippery Slope, Arg. From Analogy, Appeals to Precedent.
Nov. 18&20: Ch. 11 Two Chainz Wrongs Reasoning, Ch. 12 Pro Hominem, Ad Populum, Arg from Authoritar, Ad Hominem.
Nov. 25&27: Ch. 12 Arg against Authoritar, Appeal to Eyewitness, Guilt by Association, Other logical fallacies; Cognitive Biases.
Nov. 28-29: Thanksgiving Recess
Dec. 2&4: Evaluating Scientific Studies (Quality of Evidence, Sample Size, Reproducibility, Epistemic Priors, , Take-Home Final/Group Project Assigned
Dec. 11: Take-Home Final/Group Project Due
Dec. 17: Grades Submitted

Learning Outcomes
Upon completion of PHI 102 students should be able to:
1. Identify arguments and distinguish arguments from non-arguments in actual discourse.
2. Identify components of arguments – conclusions and premises (both explicit and implicit).
3. Identify assumptions used in actual arguments
4. Reconstruct arguments in order to make logical structure explicit.
5. Evaluate Arguments for:
a. strength of inference: validity vs. invalidity; strong vs. weak
b. type of inference: deductive, inductive, causal, analogical, statistical
c. truth/plausibility of premises: soundness or cogency
6. Identify, distinguish and classify fallacious forms of reasoning.
7. Distinguish types of definitions and their use in argumentation.
8. Identify, distinguish and classify typical argumentative forms:
a. standard deductive forms
b. standard inductive forms (e.g. Mill’s Methods)
c. statistical forms
d. analogies
e. causal arguments
9. Construct and defend reasonable arguments of your own.

Grading
Your grade is composed of the following elements: Homework (10%), participation (10%), 2 short exams (20% each), take-home midterm (20%), group project/final exam (20%).
Participation: Quality vs quantity. The person who only opens their mouth once the whole semester but says something brilliant will get a better grade than the person who monopolizes the floor and speaks with little forethought. Don't feel pressured to speak if you don't have anything meaningful to say. That's ok. If I can come up with one meaningful thing in 3 months—I'm doing well!
Homework: There is homework due at midnight the day before every class. This means the homework for Monday's class is due by Sunday midnight and for Wednesday's class it is due by Tuesday midnight. You will email your homework to philosophami@gmail.com (don't forget to attach the file—this is your responsibility). The homework only consists of a few questions and should not take more than 30-40min to complete—if that.
Homework and your grade: I do not grade individual homework sets. I only verify if it is either complete or incomplete. So how does it affect your grade? You start off with an 'A' for your homework grade. If you miss more than three assignments, your total letter grade for the course falls by 1/3 of a letter grade. For example, if you have an 'A' in the course and you miss four assignments, your final grade will be an 'A-'. Likewise, if you have a 'B+' in the course and you miss four assignments, your final grade will fall to a 'B'.
This system of deduction is logarithmic, so if you have missed more than 6 assignments, your final grade will fall by a full letter grade. If you miss half or more of the assignments, you will fail the course. To summarize: in my magnanimity I hereby grant all of ye the status of 'A' in homeworks, but should you fail to please me by missing three or more assignments, I will diminish the luster of your final grade accordingly.

But what if I get sick and can't do my homework that week? Don't fret little grasshopper. You have 3 get out of jail cards—use one! Can I make them up? Nope. You have 3 get out of jail cards—that should be enough to cover most excuses over a semester. But what if I get abducted by aliens, taken to a planet far far away, have disturbing medical experiments performed on me, and dropped of on another continent with no clothes, money, or phone? Nope. However, there may be the occasional bonus assignment throughout the semester which I will allow you to trade in for a used get-out-of-jail card.
But what happens if I don't know the answer to a question on the homework? That's ok. The reason you are in the course is presumably because there are things you don't already know about critical thinking. That said, this does not give you carte blanche to say of every question “I didn't understand!” Instead, what I expect is for you to explain why you don't understand how to do the problem or how to come up with the answer. A big part of my asking you to do homework is for me to be able to assess what the class does and does not understand well, and why! Your homework provides me with valuable insight into your comprehension and how I am doing with my teaching.

Extra Credit: Blog entries and podcast reviews. I strongly recommend each student pick a podcast from my approved list. For every 3 reviews you can gain 2% added to your final grade for a maximum total of 6%. Reviews and evaluations of approved articles and prompts are also acceptable. Extra credit work will be posted on the blog for other students to read.

Class Etiquette
Cellphones: Please turn them to silent (not vibrate) or even better yet, turn them off. What about texting/surfing in class? While I don't condone it, spending my energy trying to police it takes away from my teaching, so I will trust you all to give your thumbs a rest while in class. What if my phone rings and interrupts the class? For interrupting your fellow classmates from learning you will be penalized one homework get-out-of-jail card. However, since this is a class about arguments and critical thinking, you will have a chance in the following session to prepare an argument for why you should be excused from the penalty. If the class determines your reasons to be sufficiently strong and free of logical fallacies, you will reclaim your card. The outcome will be determined by class vote.

Class discussions: Since this is a class about arguments, I'm hoping we'll have some good ones with each other. That said, there need to be some ground rules and they need to be observed if the exchanges are to be fruitful. For the most part, common sense dictates, but here are some guidelines: (a) listening is just as (if not sometimes more) important than talking; (b) sharing the floor allows everyone to participate—if you've been doing a lot of talking (no matter how brilliant and stunning your rhetoric), let other people participate; (c) controlling our emotions in a good exchange isn't always easy but it is necessary. Generally, when we feel passionate about something, it is hard not to get emotional, but lets direct our passion into the quality of our arguments and into understanding our opponents'. While it is generally true of politics that the loudest voice wins, lets try to keep that element out of the classroom—little progress is ever made by yelling (see American politics).

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An example of academic misconduct is plagiarism. Plagiarism is using the words or ideas of another, from the Internet or any source, without proper citation of the sources. See the Student Academic Misconduct Policy (approved December 9, 2005) located at: http://studentconduct.unlv.edu/misconduct/policy.html.

Copyright – The University requires all members of the University Community to familiarize themselves and to follow copyright and fair use requirements. You are individually and solely responsible for violations of copyright and fair use laws. The university will neither protect nor defend you nor assume any responsibility for employee or student violations of fair use laws. Violations of copyright laws could subject you to federal and state civil penalties and criminal liability, as well as disciplinary action under University policies. Additional information can be found at: http://provost.unlv.edu/copyright/statements.html.

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If you are registered with the UNLV Disability Resource Center, bring your Academic Accommodation Plan from the DRC to me during office hours so that we may work together to develop strategies for implementing the accommodations to meet both your needs and the requirements of the course. Any information you provide is private and will be treated as such. To maintain the confidentiality of your request, please do not approach me before or after class to discuss your accommodation needs.

Religious Holidays Policy – Any student missing class quizzes, examinations, or any other class or lab work because of observance of religious holidays shall be given an opportunity during that semester to make up missed work. The make-up will apply to the religious holiday absence only. It shall be the responsibility of the student to notify the instructor no later than the end of the first two weeks of classes, September 6, of his or her intention to participate in religious holidays which do not fall on state holidays or periods of class recess. This policy shall not apply in the event that administering the test or examination at an alternate time would impose an undue hardship on the instructor or the university that could not reasonably been avoided. For additional information, please visit: http://catalog.unlv.edu/content.php?catoid=4&navoid=164.

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